Phoenix

Moving From California to Arizona in 2027?

Moving From California to Arizona in 2027: why people leave California, what changes on cost, housing, jobs and crime, and the verdict factors to research.

Updated October 2026 · Smart Movers Club research desk

Quick answer

Arizona is the lower-cost option on housing: the median home value across the app's top-scoring places is $412,250 versus $721,700. California shows +1.4% population change and Arizona +1.7%. Neither is "better" for everyone — the right answer depends on your income, job, commute and the exact county you choose.

MetricCaliforniaArizonaPhoenix, AZ
Median home value$721,700$412,250$381,900
Median rent$2,338/mo$1,795/mo$1,458/mo
Household income$134,923$103,578$77,041
Population change+1.4%+1.7%+1.0%
Violent crime / 100k (state)435383383
Home value ÷ income5.3×4.0×5.0×
State wage income taxYesYesYes

California in numbers

Median home value

$721,700

Top-scoring places

Median rent

$2,338/mo

Household income

$134,923

Violent crime / 100k

435

California, 2025

Population change

+1.4%

Tracked places + counties

Home value change

+7.0%

State wage income tax

Yes

Home value ÷ income

5.3×

Top-scoring California cities in the app
PlaceScoreHome valueRentIncomePop. change
El Dorado Hills, CA92$870,300$2,468$163,544+3.0%
Mountain House, CA91$859,700$3,232$171,675+6.4%
North Tustin, CA85$1,212,400$2,397$186,250+3.6%
Eastvale, CA84$752,000$3,065$161,322+0.8%
Folsom, CA84$702,200$2,279$139,263+1.3%
Roseville, CA83$630,600$2,099$117,354+2.4%
Top-scoring California counties
PlaceScoreHome valueRentIncomePop. change
Placer County83$658,800$1,991$114,678+1.4%
El Dorado County77$640,500$1,626$106,190+0.3%
Inyo County74$338,400$1,140$72,432-0.1%
Nevada County71$602,800$1,635$84,905+0.1%
Amador County70$422,800$1,380$81,526+1.1%
San Benito County69$751,500$1,922$108,289+2.0%

Arizona in numbers

Median home value

$412,250

Top-scoring places

Median rent

$1,795/mo

Household income

$103,578

Violent crime / 100k

383

Arizona, 2025

Population change

+1.7%

Tracked places + counties

Home value change

+12.0%

State wage income tax

Yes

Home value ÷ income

4.0×

Top-scoring Arizona cities in the app
PlaceScoreHome valueRentIncomePop. change
Queen Creek, AZ78$576,600$2,176$134,719+7.4%
Oro Valley, AZ73$440,400$1,602$105,342+1.2%
Green Valley, AZ72$264,300$1,135$58,268+3.1%
Marana, AZ71$380,100$1,702$108,256+3.7%
Maricopa, AZ70$338,600$1,919$94,208+5.7%
Catalina Foothills, AZ69$604,100$1,332$113,201+2.3%
Top-scoring Arizona counties
PlaceScoreHome valueRentIncomePop. change
Pinal County71$312,100$1,417$77,588+3.7%
Yavapai County67$392,900$1,258$66,106+1.6%
Graham County66$202,700$890$67,326+1.1%
Greenlee County64$136,300$570$75,239-0.3%
Yuma County58$195,700$983$60,417+1.6%
Cochise County55$207,400$939$58,970-0.0%

Verdict factors to check before you decide

  1. 1Compare take-home pay after state income tax in both places.
  2. 2Price the whole address: taxes, insurance, utilities and HOA, not just the listing.
  3. 3Confirm the exact city, county and school assignment for the address.
  4. 4Drive the commute at the hours you will actually travel.
  5. 5Check flood, heat and storm exposure on official maps.
  6. 6Compare crime at the jurisdiction level, then visit at night.
  7. 7Line up a job or client base before you sign a lease.

Frequently asked questions

Moving From California to Arizona in 2027?

Arizona is the lower-cost option on housing: the median home value across the app's top-scoring places is $412,250 versus $721,700. California shows +1.4% population change and Arizona +1.7%. Neither is "better" for everyone — the right answer depends on your income, job, commute and the exact county you choose.

What are the best places to live in California?

In the Smart Movers Club app, the top-scoring California cities are El Dorado Hills, Mountain House, North Tustin, Eastvale, Folsom, and the top counties are Placer County, El Dorado County, Inyo County, Nevada County. Scores combine income, housing, growth, employment and education.

Does California have a state income tax?

Yes, California taxes wage income. Check the state revenue department for current rates and compare property and sales taxes too.

Where does this data come from?

Figures come from the Smart Movers Club app, which compiles U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey estimates and FBI state crime rates. Census figures are survey estimates, not live listing prices.

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Sources and method

Figures are medians across the top-scoring places the Smart Movers Club app tracks in each state, compiled from public data. Census values are survey estimates, not current listings; crime rates are state-level. This is research, not financial or legal advice.

Photo: Wikimedia Commons.